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The real estate market continues to tread water in the Central Pennsylvania market, according to the sold numbers for the month of April 2009 when compared to April 2008. The average sales price declined from $189,197 in 2008 to $184,702 in 2009, a decline of 2%. The average days on the market before a home was placed under contract increased by 8 days to 85 days in 2009, but it should be noted that this comparison is returning to the normal comparison that we experienced in the early 2000s. I think the most interesting statistic is that the number of VA and FHA loans as a percentage of closed transaction increased to 39% in April compared to 19% in 2008. This trend will continue to increase for the rest of the year since these financing vehicles are more consistent in comparison to what the conventional no government loans were previously. The rates are comparable to conventional loans and this increase in these types of loans reflects the new reality that we are recognizing in the financing arena. Below are some comparisons of local municipalities in our market.

Average Sales Price April 2009
West Shore
Municipality
2008
2009
Days on Market
Camp Hill
$218,983
$132,125
56/78
Mechanicsburg
$130,040
$144,918
28/62
New Cumberland
$165,060
$159,075
5/49
East Pennsboro
$156,146
$234,211
67/89
Hampden Township
$316,032
$244,700
68/74
Silver Spring Township
$278,531
$224,058
67/93
Upper Allen Township
$186,707
$191,458
39/105
Lower Allen Township
$186,132
$200,151
68/112
Fairview Township
$239,169
$207,100
52/66
East Shore
Lower Paxton Township
$253,376
$180,743
78/81
Derry Township
$234,795
$282,989
42/70
Susquehanna Township
$167,135
$182,258
62/96
Swatara Township
$153,904
$154,138
63/111
Paxtang
$134,950
$144,200
97/29
East Hanover Township
$239,000
$234,211
69/30
West Hanover Township
$245,122
$213,054
87/65

 

In some instances, you see a large variance in either the average selling price or days on market and this is looking at a small time frame of 30 days and that can be caused by one or two large sales or by custom homes being entered into the Multi List and showing zero days on the market. If you have any questions about your local municipality, please contact me at your convenience.

Harrisburg,Pa. is one of Forbes most liveable cities

by Don Roth
According to Forbes ranks 12th in the U.S. as one of America's most livable cities. This comparison is for metropolitan areas with over 500,000 people. This ranking is based on factors as five year household cost of living that was calculated by Economy.com, crime data and leisure index and annual unemployment. To read the whole story please click the following link
http://www.forbes.com/2009/04/01/cities-city-ten-lifestyle-real-estate-livable-cities_slide_5.html?thisSpeed=15000. If you want to review the rest the forward and backward buttons are reversed.

The first quarter of 2009 showed some stability in the real estate market when compared to the similar period in 2008. Although the number of transactions are down by 20% and the average sales price declined by 3%, these numbers are an improvement with respect to the declines that we experienced in the last quarter of 2008. The average sales price overall declined from $184,860 to $178,519 and the average sales price in March 2009 declined from $187,896 to $183,638. The average days on market increased slightly in both periods and it is returning to what I would call more normal times of the late 1990’s and the early 2000’s.

One of the most striking changes is the percentage of loans being initiated by FHA and VA. This percentage increased from 35% in 2009 from only 14% in 2008. This is a good indication since both entities have stepped up to the plate when conventional lending sources were not available, and this trend will continue for a while longer.

But there is some very good news in the market today. 30 year conventional first mortgage rates are still near 5% and, at least in the short term, that should be the going rate. Also, lenders are really attempting to assist buyers in this market to find a mortgage program that fits the borrowers’ requirements. And although the above quarterly sales numbers to many look bleak, the number of pending sales has increased by about 20% since the end of 2008. And although we haven’t completely turned the corner, it is my opinion that we are beginning to see that both buyers have a vehicle to purchase a home at very attractive interest rates and sellers are going to experience more potential buyers for their homes going forward this year.

Below is information on selected municipalities in the region and is reflective of only residential properties and does not include land, investment or commercial properties.

Average Sales Price/ First Quarter
West Shore
Municipality
2008
2009
Days on Market
Camp Hill
$217,223
$197,091
76/93
Mechanicsburg
$162,568
$145,958
51/67
Shiremanstown
$144,933
$150,000
59/47
Lemoyne
$156,983
$112,469
36/32
East Pennsboro
$200,724
$171,440
54/58
Hampden Township
$278,272
$247,573
78/98
Silver Spring Township
$255,771
$258,366
77/67
Upper Allen Township
$266,410
$203,963
76/85
Lower Allen Township
$174,730
$206,434
44/73
Fairview Township
$258,348
$270,124
82/71
East Shore
 
 
Lower Paxton Township
$226,358
$235,288
61/88
Derry Township
$250,125
$216,241
58/75
South Hanover Township
$189,774
$304,936
104/86
Susquehanna Township
$166,728
$162,876
57/89
Swatara Township
$166,896
$147,536
80/64
Paxtang
$140,500
$119,475
77/86
Hummelstown
$161,540
$136,543
57/102
East Hanover Township
$149,000
$265,250
50/75
West Hanover Township
$238,728
$213,928
95/119

 

Information received from the Central Penn Multi List and deemed to be correct. The information on the sales has been selected from Dauphin, Cumberland and Perry Counties and portions of Lancaster, Lebanon and York Counties.

Saving Homes from Foreclosure

by Don Roth

Although in the greater Harrisburg/Central Pennsylvania real estate market we are experiencing the beginnings of a basing of prices, there are homeowners facing serious challenges with their home mortgage payments in an attempt to keep their individual homes. The recent action by the President and Congress through the recently passed legislation has given homeowners the resources to see through the various governmental initiatives a vehicle to save their homes. These programs are not going to save every homeowner, but these are channels to research the process and you have the ability to investigate what is available to you.

Here is a list of websites that offer tools that may help you if you are facing challenges with your mortgage:

www.MakingHomeAffordable.gov
www.fanniemae.com/homeaffordable
www.freddiemac.com/avoidforeclosure
www.portal.hud.gov
www.hopenow.com

In addition to these sites, please do not hesitate to go www.PHFA.org (Pennsylvania Housing Finance Agency) as a site that can provide additional resources. BUT please do not go and pay for any credit counseling because all of the sites listed will provide the counseling at NO COST to you. ALSO REMEMBER, if you are having problems paying your mortgage payments, call your lender immediately because they are not in the business of owing homes and if there is a way, they and you are better off investigating the alternatives of foreclosure. Being proactive is the best alternative in the current environment.

If you have any questions, please feel free to email me at don@donroth.com.

The Central Pennsylvania Real Estate market continues to be in a state of flux, according to the February 2009 results from the Central Penn Multi List. The number of homes sold in February 2009 compared to the same period last year declined in numbers by 26%, and the average sales price decline of $163,642 by 9% for the same period. And the average days on market before a home is placed under contract increased slightly to 89 days from 83 days in 2008. These results are primarily in Cumberland, Dauphin and Perry Counties with some additional sales recorded in parts of York, Lebanon and Lancaster Counties.

What does that mean as we head into what has been the traditional selling season in this area? For buyers, there are values to be realized since we are seeing a slowing in the market and for sellers, there are opportunities because there are many qualified buyers looking for a new home. How can we tell? Although the sold results do not look good, and even though there are over 4100 active residential listing in the Multi List right now, the number of homes under contract has increase by over 10% compared to December 2008. And I think that this trend of increased sales will continue going forward in 2009. Also, the recently passed Stimulus Bill will provide first time home buyers with a $8000 tax credit if they settle by the end of November of this year. In my opinion, this legislation is very positive since many of these buyers will purchase a home in the average sales price range and then many of those sellers will move into a new home and the real estate sales cycle will be positively affected in the higher price ranges. And also do not forget that the lower interest rate environment is still with us, meaning that buyers can buy more home. Iin addition, I would not be surprised if mortgage interest rates dropped even further.

If you would like to receive a daily update of new real estate listings in a certain area or just have any real estate questions, please contact me at your convenience. And if you would like to know more about the tax credit, contact me as well at Don@DonRoth.com.

First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit, 2009

by Don Roth

Attached is information on The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 with respect to first time home buyers. I hope you find the info useful. - Don.

FIRST-TIME HOMEBUYER TAX CREDIT

In 2008, Congress enacted a $7500 tax credit designed to be an incentive for first-time homebuyers to purchase a home. The credit was designed as a mechanism to decrease the over-supply of homes for sale. For 2009, Congress has increased the credit to $8000 and made several additional improvements. This revised $8000 tax credit applies to purchases on or after January 1, 2009 and before December 1, 2009.

Tax Credits -- The Basics

1. What’s this new homebuyer tax incentive for 2009?

The 2008 $7500, repayable credit is increased to $8000 and the repayment feature is eliminated for 2009 purchasers. Any home that is purchased for $80,000 or more qualifies for the full $8000 amount. If the house costs less than $80,000, the credit will be 10% of the cost. Thus, if an individual purchased a home for $75,000, the credit would be $7500. It is available for the purchase of a principal residence on or after January 1, 2009 and before December 1, 2009.

2. Who is eligible?

Only first-time homebuyers are eligible. A person is considered a first-time buyer if he/she has not had any ownership interest in a home in the three years previous to the day of the 2009 purchase.

3. How does a tax credit work?

Every dollar of a tax credit reduces income taxes by a dollar. Credits are claimed on an individual’s income tax return. Thus, a qualified purchaser would figure out all the income items and exemptions and make all the calculations required to figure out his/her total tax due. Then, once the total tax owed has been computed, tax credits are applied to reduce the total tax bill. So, if before taking any credits on a tax return a person has total tax liability of $9500, an $8000 credit would wipe out all but $1500 of the tax due. ($9,500 - $8000 = $1500)

4. So what happens if the purchaser is eligible for an $8000 credit but their entire income tax liability for the year is only $6000?

This tax credit is what’s called “refundable” credit. Thus, if the eligible purchaser’s total tax liability was $6000, the IRS would send the purchaser a check for $2000. The refundable amount is the difference

between $8000 credit amount and the amount of tax liability. ($8000 - $6000 = $2000) Most taxpayers determine their tax liability by referring to tables that the IRS prepares each year.

 

5. How does withholding affect my tax credit and my refund?

A few examples are provided at the end of this document. There are several steps in this calculation, but most income tax software programs are equipped to make that determination.

6. Is there an income restriction?

Yes. The income restriction is based on the tax filing status the purchaser claims when filing his/her income tax return. Individuals filing Form 1040 as Single (or Head of Household) are eligible for the credit if their income is no more than $75,000. Married couples who file a Joint return may have income of no more than $150,000.

7. How is my “income” determined?

For most individuals, income is defined and calculated in the same manner as their Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) on their 1040 income tax return. AGI includes items like wages, salaries, interest and dividends, pension and retirement earnings, rental income and a host of other elements. AGI is the final number that appears on the bottom line of the front page of an IRS Form 1040.

8. What if I worked abroad for part of the year?

Some individuals have earned income and/or receive housing allowances while working outside the US. Their income will be adjusted to reflect those items to measure Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI). Their eligibility for the credit will be based on their MAGI.

9. Do individuals with incomes higher than the $75,000 or $150,000 limits lose all the benefit of the credit?

Not always. The credit phases-out between $75,000 - $95,000 for singles and $150,000 - $170,000 for married filing joint. The closer a buyer comes to the maximum phase-out amount, the smaller the credit will be. The law provides a formula to gradually withdraw the credit. Thus, the credit will disappear after an individual’s income reaches $95,000 (single return) or $170,000 (joint return). For example, if a married couple had income of $165,000, their credit would be reduced by 75% as shown: Couple’s income $165,000 Income limit 150,000 Excess income $15,000 The excess income amount ($15,000 in this example) is used to form a fraction. The numerator of the fraction is the excess income amount ($15,000). The denominator is $20,000 (specified by the statute).

In this example, the disallowed portion of the credit is 75% of $8000, or $6000 ($15,000/$20,000 = 75% x $8000 = $6000) Stated another way, only 25% of the credit amount would be allowed. In this example, the allowable credit would be $2000 (25% x $8000 = $2000)

10. What’s the definition of “principal residence?”

Generally, a principal residence is the home where an individual spends most of his/her time (generally defined as more than 50%). It is also defined as “owner-occupied” housing. The term includes single-family detached housing, condos or co-ops, townhouses or any similar type of new or existing dwelling. Even some houseboats or manufactured homes count as principal residences.

11. Are there restrictions on the location of the property?

Yes. The home must be located in the United States. Property located outside the US is not eligible for the credit.

12. Are there restrictions related to the financing for the mortgage on the property?

In 2009, most financing arrangements are acceptable and will not affect eligibility for the credit. Congress eliminated the financing restriction that applied in 2008. (In 2008, purchasers were ineligible for the $7500 credit if the financing was obtained by means of mortgage revenue bonds.) Now, mortgage-revenue bond financing will not disqualify an otherwise-eligible purchaser. (Mortgage revenue bonds are tax-exempt bonds issued by a state housing agency. Proceeds from the bonds must be used for below market loans to qualified buyers.)

13. Do I have to repay the 2009 tax credit?

NO. There is no repayment for 2009 tax credits.

 

YES. The $7500 credit in 2008 was more like an interest-free loan. All eligible purchasers who claimed the 2008 credit will still be required to repay it over 15 years, starting with their 2010 tax return.

Some Practical Questions

15. How do I apply for the credit?

There is no pre-purchase authorization, application or similar approval process. All eligible purchasers simply claim the credit on their IRS Form 1040 tax return. The credit will be reflected on a new Form 5405 that will be attached to the 1040. Form 5405 can be found at www.irs.gov.

16. So I can’t use the credit amount as part of my downpayment?

No. Congress tried hard to devise a mechanism that would make the funds available for closing costs, but found that pre-funding would require cumbersome processes that would, in effect, bring the IRS into the purchase and settlement phase of the transaction.

17. So there’s no way to get any cash flow benefits before I file my tax return?

Yes, there is. Any first-time homebuyers who believe they are eligible for all or part of the credit can modify their income tax withholding (through their employers) or adjust their quarterly estimated tax payments. Individuals subject to income tax withholding would get an IRS Form W-4 from their employer, follow the instructions on the schedules provided and give the completed Form W-4 back to the employer. In many cases their withholding would decrease and their take-home pay would increase. Those who make estimated tax payments would make similar adjustments. Some “Real World” Examples

18. What if I purchase later this year but can’t get to settlement before December 1?

The credit is available for purchases before December 1, 2009. A home is considered as “purchased” when all events have occurred that transfer the title from the seller to the new purchaser. Thus, closings must occur before December 1, 2009 for purchases to be eligible for the credit.

19. I haven’t even filed my 2008 tax return yet. If I buy in 2009, do I have to wait until next year to get the benefit of the credit?

You’ll have a helpful choice that might speed up the process. Eligible homebuyers who make their purchase between January 1, 2009 and December 1, 2009 can treat the purchase as if it had occurred on December 31, 2008. Thus, they can claim the credit on their 2008 tax return that is due on April 15, 2009. They actually have three filing options.

If they purchase between January 1, 2009 and April 15, 2009, they can claim the $8000 credit on the 2008 return due on April 15.

They can extend their 2008 income-tax filing until as late as October 15, 2009. (The IRS grants automatic extensions, but the taxpayer must file for the extension. See www.irs.gov for instructions on how to obtain an extension.)

If they have filed their 2008 return before they purchase the home, they may file an amended 2008 tax return on Form 1040X. (Form 1040X is available at www.irs.gov)

Of course, 2009 purchasers will always have the option of claiming the credit for the 2009 purchase on their 2009 return. Their 2009 tax return is due on April 15, 2010.

20. I purchased my home in early 2009 before the stimulus bill was enacted. I claimed a $7500 tax credit on my 2008 return as prior law had permitted. Am I restricted to just a $7500 credit?

No, you would qualify for the $8000 credit. Eligible purchasers who have already claimed the $7500 credit on a 2008 return for a 2009 purchase may file an amended return (IRS Form 1040X) for the 2008 tax year. This amended return will enable them to obtain the additional $500 credit amount.

21. If I claim my 2009 $8000 credit on my 2008 tax return, will I have to repay the credit just as the 2008 credits are repaid?

No. Congress anticipated this confusion and has made specific provision so that there would be no repayment of 2009 credits that are claimed on 2008 returns.

22. I made an eligible purchase of a principal residence in May 2008 and claimed the $7500 credit on my 2008 tax return. My brother, who has never owned a home, wishes to purchase a partial interest in the home this spring and move in. Will he qualify for the $8000 credit, as well?

No. Any purchase of a principal residence (or interest in a principal residence) from a related party such as a sibling, parent, grandparent, aunt or uncle is ineligible for the tax credit. Since you and your brother are related in this way, he cannot qualify for the credit on any portion of the home that he purchases from you, even if he is a first-time homebuyer.

23. I live in the District of Columbia. If I qualify as a first-time homebuyer, can I use both the $5000 DC credit and the $8000 credit?

No; double dipping is not allowed. You would be eligible for only the $8000 credit. This will be an advantage because of the higher credit amount, plus the eligibility requirements for the $8000 credit are somewhat more easily satisfied than the DC credit.

24. I know there is no repayment requirement for the $8000 credit. Will I ever have to repay any of the credit back to the government?

One situation does require a recapture payment back to the government. If you claim the credit but then sell the property within 3 years of the date of purchase, you are required to pay back the full amount of any credit, including any refund you received from it. A few exceptions apply. (See below, #24). Note that this same 3-year recapture rule applies, as well, to the $7500 credit available for 2008. This provision is designed as an anti-flipping rule.

25. What if I die or get divorced or my property is ruined in a natural disaster within the 3 years?

The repayment rules are eased for many circumstances. If the homeowner who used the credit dies within the first three years of ownership, there is no recapture. Special rules make adjustments for people who sell homes as part of a divorce settlement, as well. Similarly, adjustments are made in the case of a home that is part of an involuntary conversion (property is destroyed in a natural disaster or subject to condemnation by eminent domain by an authorized agency) within the first three years.

26. I have a home under construction. Am I eligible for the credit?

Yes, so long as you actually occupy the home before December 1, 2009. WITHHOLDING EXAMPLES: Note: The impact of estimated tax payments would be the same. Situation 1: Sally plans her withholding so that her withholding is as close as possible to what she anticipates as her income tax liability for the year. When she fills out her 1040, her liability is $6000. She has had $6000 withheld from her paycheck. She also qualifies for the $8000 homebuyer credit. Result: Sally’s withholding satisfies her tax liability and reduces it to zero. She will receive a refund of the full $8000. Situation 2: Nick and Nora file a joint return. Nick is self-employed and makes estimated payments; Nora has taxes withheld from her salary. When they compute their taxes, their combined withholding and estimated tax payments are $11,000. Their income tax liability is $9800. They also qualified as first-time homebuyers and are eligible for the $8000 refundable tax credit. Result: Ordinarily, their combined estimated tax payments and withholding would make them eligible for a refund of $1200 ($11,000 - $9800 = $1200). Because they are eligible for the refundable tax credit as well, they will receive a refund of $9200 ($1200 income tax refund + $8000 refundable tax credit = $9200) Situation 3: Cesar and LuzMaria both have income taxes withheld from their salaries and file a joint return. When they file their income tax return, their combined withholding is $5000. However, their total tax liability is $7200, generating an additional income tax liability of $2200 ($7200 - $5000). They also qualify for the $8000 first-time homebuyer tax credit. Result: Cesar and LuzMaria have been under-withheld by $2200. Ordinarily, they would be required to pay the additional $2200 they owe (plus any applicable interest and penalties). Because they are eligible for the refundable homebuyer tax credit, the credit will cover the $2200 additional liability. In addition, they will receive an income tax refund of $5800 ($8000 - $2200 = $5800). If they owed penalties and/or interest, that amount would reduce the refund.

This information is provided by The National Association of REALTORS®.

If you have any specific tax questions, I would recommend that you consult with your tax advisor. And if I can assist you in finding that special home, please contact me at Don@DonRoth.com.

Central Pennsylvania Housing Statistics, January 2009

by Don Roth

The housing statistics for the suburban Harrisburg, Pennsylvania are in and the results show that there is still some decline in real estate sales in the area. The number of homes sold in 2009 declined by 20% compared to the same period in 2008, and the area saw a decrease in the average sales price of 7% in the same period. The sales results cover all of Dauphin (except Harrisburg), Cumberland and Perry Counties and portions of Lancaster, Lebanon and York Counties. These results continue the trend the area experienced for the last half of 2008.

But there is good news on the horizon since the number of pending sales (sold although not yet settled) increased from December 2008 to the end of January 2009 by approximately 9%. And many of us are seeing increased buyer activity and additional properly priced homes come onto the market. In addition, there is some positive news out of Washington to assist both home buyers and sellers for 2009. In November 2008, The National Association of Realtors® put forth a recommendation that the $7500 tax credit for first time home buyers be expanded to all home buyers and that the tax credit be replaced with just a plain credit, meaning that there would not be any repayment vehicle attached for any buyer. This idea has taken form in Washington and it has a good chance of becoming part of the President’s Stimulus Package working its way through Congress. And there also appears that Congress may look favorably on crafting a mortgage program where mortgage rates could go as low as 4 or 4 1/2% this year.

So when looking into the future I see better times ahead for both home buyers and home sellers. It will not happen overnight but the landscape is looking much brighter for people that are looking into real estate. STAY TUNED.

Refinancing a Home Purchased One Year Ago

by Don Roth

Greg posted this question on Trulia Voice this morning and my response follows:

My wife and I bought a 2 unit duplex about a year ago. We went FHA and got locked in at a rate of 6.25. We both have 710 credit scores. We do not have much equity in the house yet. But with rates now around 5 % is it worth us to try and refinance and if so who would you recommend?

Greg:

I would first talk to the loan officer that you originally secured your current mortgage through and see what they may be able to do for you. The difference between the two rates per $10,000 is about $8.00 or $80.00 per month. Before you refinance, find out what, if any, costs you are going to incur for the refi. Then take into consideration how many years you are planning to remain in your home and see how long before you begin realizing the savings. In many cases, it can be four, five or six years, again depending on what your costs can be (ie origination fees, new title insurance, etc.). Using my above example of $80 per month on a $100,000 mortgage and say your refinacing costs are going to be $4000, you would need to be in your home for at least 50 months before you started realizing a savings from the refinance. And I know it is difficult to anticipate how long you are going to be in a home, but sometimes it is better to pay the higher rate than refinance, especially if you have to include some of the closing costs into the refi. There isn't a pat answer, but look at the costs versus what you will be saving and as additional piece of information, there is a proposal from The National Association of Realtors® to have a program where mortgage interest rates would be pegged at 4.5% for a certain period. And this proposal has gained some traction in Washington so maybe watch what comes out of D.C. before you make a decision. I hope this helps you in your decision.

Don Roth

Suburban Harrisburg, PA Real Estate Comparisons 2007 vs 2008

by Don Roth

Suburban Harrisburg, PA Real Estate Comparisons 2007 vs 2008

I am reporting the sales results as compiled by the Central Penn Multi List comparing the years of 2007 and 2008. These results are for the suburban locations of Harrisburg and include all of Dauphin, Cumberland and Perry counties and portions of York, Lebanon and Lancaster counties. As you probably already know, our local real estate market declined in 2008 when compared to 2007 in the number of sales and average sales prices. These results were not unexpected when we review the major headlines and the resulting effects on the nations real estate markets that occurred in 2008. The numbers are what they are and I will not attempt to spin the numbers in any fashion. But, I will tell some of the interesting statistics that are occurring right now. One, as I have stated, is that mortgage interest rates are at or near historic lows meaning that it is not out of the realm of possibility to secure a 30 year fixed rate at or just below 5% and I think that they may go lower for at least the first half of 2009. So if you are not thinking about buying a home you may want to consider a refi of your existing mortgage. If you have any questions whether it is worth your while, give me a call or send me an email and we can review what possibilities may be available to you.

I read a great quote from a REALTOR® in Portland, Oregon, Rob Levy, that said “when will I know that housing has hit bottom” and his answer was “when its going back up again,” This is very true and no one will know when you could have made a great deal in the real estate market until it has already happened! So if you are considering purchasing a home in the near future, contact me and allow me to establish a personalized search program for you so that you can educate yourself on the market activity and what may be available and at what price. Yes, there are home owners locally that are having a difficult time remaining in their homes, but there is still strength in our local real estate market and we will see a rebound and only then we will know where the bottom was in this market. One last thought, there are local lenders that are willing and able to secure mortgage at competitive rates and terms and they are just waiting for you to ask. Wishing you a Happy and Prosperous New Year.

Number of Home Sales
Average Sales Price
Mediam Sales Price

Renting vs Buying in the Carlisle, Pa. Area 17013

by Don Roth

The following question was posted on Trulia Voices on  January 7, 2009 and the following is my answer to the question

K asked. I am moving to Cumberland County, PA (Boiling Springs/ Carlisle) and would like to be a first time home owner. Unfortunately my job is a two year term. Is it smart to buy a house, as I've heard I would lose money, especially with houses depreciating?

K. Great question. Most people would say no to you purchasing a home and then reselling it in two years. My perspective is there are opportunities to purchase a home and not lose any money within your time frame. In most real estate cycles in recent years, most buyers that were looking to sell in two years were people that were transferred into the area and had most, if not all of their costs paid by the employer, so they had very little personal financial loss to be anticipated within that time frame.

My recommendation is to review the price range of homes that you are considering and calculate your total monthly housing costs and compare that to the amount you may pay in rent for the time frame. Yes, there are going to be costs in purchasing a home, but there possibly may be some tax benefits, not associated with the $7500. tax credit that may make it beneficial to you to purchase a home rather then renting.

The local market has seen a small decline in the average selling price in 2008 compared to 2007, but in many areas of our market AND a small increase in the selling price compared to 2006. I would anticipate a rebound in our local real estate market in 2009 when you look at some of the home values coupled with the extremely attractive interest rate environment we have right now. Good luck in your search and if you need any additional information, please contact me. Thanks, Don. Don@DonRoth.com

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