Real Estate Information Archive

Blog

Displaying blog entries 11-20 of 20

Households Are Ready to Borrow

by Don Roth

Falling mortgage rates have ignited a mini financing boom. The Mortgage Bankers Association reports mortgage applications were up a whopping 49% in the week ending January 9. Refinances were up 66% week over week. Just as encouraging, purchase applications were up 24%.

Of course, one week does not a trend make, but we like the potential for mortgage (and home sales) activity to rise this year.

First, there is the strength in job grow and economic activity we mention earlier. Second, more households are in a financial position to service more debt. The Federal Reserve reports that household debt and financial obligations as a percentage of personal income is near multi-decade lows. In fact, mortgage debt is only 4.67% of disposable income on average. For comparison, it was over 7% back in 2007.

More people working, more people in a sound financial position, cheap lending rates, and leveling home-price growth all offer persuasive evidence that 2015 could turn out to be a banner year for housing and mortgage lending.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - January 5 2015

by Don Roth

Easing Into 2015

We like where home price are headed. That is, they are easing. They have assumed a more steady and sustainable rate of growth.

Recent price data from Black Knight supports our contention. Black Knight follows completed transactions in more than 18,500 U.S. ZIP codes. For October, prices were up 0.1%, on average. Year over year, they were up 4.5%. This is much closer to historical growth rates.

Mortgage lending rates are also easing into 2015. The 30-year fixed-rate loan is still regularly quoted below 4%, which is no surprise. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note hovers around 2.2%. This is nearly 100 basis points less than where it was a year ago. The 10-year note is showing no inclination to move higher. Mortgage rates are also showing no inclination to move higher.

Unfortunately, homes sales are easing into 2015 at too languid a pace.

In November, existing homes sales sank 6.1% to 4.93 million units at an annualized rate. The number of units sold on a monthly basis has yet to pick up pace. We are still at the same annualized rate we were at this time last year.

As for new home sales, they too, are easing into 2015. November new home sales were down 1.6% in November, to an annualized rate of 428,000 units. As with existing home sales, the sales pace is on par with where we were a year ago. 

Home sales had been showing some life going into the fourth quarter, but the readings on November have been a disappointment. We were expecting better.

That said, we still like the longer-term outlook on both housing and mortgage financing. Yes, sales are flat, but the continued gains in economic growth and employment will prove salutary. (This is a theme we've pounded on frequently over the past six months.) Gears will eventually mesh and sales will move higher.

Financing available to a wider swath of the population will help. Lending – mortgage and consumer – is heading in the right direction. Lenders are more willing to make loans, and consumers are more willing to take them. That's a sign of growing confidence in the economy.

We were one of the few voices promoting housing and mortgage lending in the dire days of 2009. We were proven correct: Housing indeed recovered.

These aren't dire days by any stretch of the imagination, though sometimes they are frustrating days. The good news is that housing is as poised as it has been in years to lead the economy forward. The funk will be broken.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Actually, Things Aren't All That Loose

by Don Roth

Actually, Things Aren't All That Loose

Last week, we mentioned that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac introduced a new program to buy mortgage loans with down payments as low as 3%. For borrowers to qualify for 3% down they'd need a FICO score of at least 620. They'd also have to prove their income, assets and job status, and purchase private mortgage insurance. Of course, this is all within the norm.

Fannie and Freddie's new mortgage program inspired a spurt of head shaking and finger wagging from media outlets : Could low down payments lead to another housing boom and bust? Could another mortgage bubble form?

We don't see booms and busts or bubbles in our future. For one, housing sales and purchase mortgage financing is still muted from a historical perspective. Lending standards are still high, and you can argue still too high. (Fed Chair Yellen stated that she was surprised that the housing recovery has not been more robust and indicated that it is because of tight credit markets.) This is reflected in the dearth of first-time home buyers. The NAR reports that first-time home buyers account for just 33% of all home purchases. That's the lowest level in 27 years.

Given the strength in employment and the economy, there is no reason for lenders not to reach out on the risk curve. There is also no reason for regulators to dissuade lenders from not extending credit to riskier buyers – if intelligently done.

Most of us vividly remember what occurred in 2008 and 2009, so everyone is sensitive to market disconnects. Are lending standards too loose? Not by a long shot. The benefits of easing credit standards far outweigh the risk of another bubble at this point in the recovery.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - Dec 29 2014

by Don Roth

Sentiment Up, Starts Flat, Rates Fall

Home builders remain upbeat. The National Association of Home Builders Sentiment Index posted at 57 for December. This is a point lower than the 58 reading posted in November, but is still the sixth-consecutive reading above 50. (A posting above 50 indicates more optimism and less pessimism.)

Home builders appear to be viewing the market farther afield. For the here and now, the data are not particularly encouraging. Housing starts posted at 1.028 million units on an annualized rate for November. This is in line with expectations, but the pace of starts is off 7% compared to this time last year.

Strength in starts was found in the volatile multi-family component, which was up 6.7%. Unfortunately, the more-important single-family component was down 5.4%. Looking to the future, housing permits were down 5.2%.

In recent months, housing numbers have oscillated perceptibly. October was relatively good but November was not. When we take a longer-term perspective – over the past six months – we see housing growth that has been flat to moderately positive.

Given where mortgage rates have trended lately, we could see housing activity begin to trend more positively. Rates have been dropping for the past six weeks, and are now down to levels last seen 18 months. Bankrate's survey, which tends to lean toward the high side, showed the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.94% over the past week. Freddie Mac's survey showed the 30-year loan averaged 3.8%.

Moreover, it doesn't appear rates will be heading for higher ground in the near future. In the minutes from the latest meeting of Federal Reserve governors, Chair Janet Yellen indicated that language switch to "patience" from "considerable time" on the federal funds rates does not indicate a change in Fed policy.

In other words, the Fed has no intentions to raise interest rates in the near future. Many market watchers don't think anything will change on the rate front until the second half of 2015. Inflation remains low, and is unlikely to move higher given the drop in energy prices. And despite a strengthening economy, there are still enough lagging sectors to keep rates low.

Our New Year's predictions on home prices, the economy, and job growth have turned out as we expected. As for mortgage rates, we were off base. This time last year we were expecting 5% on the 30-year loan by this time. As things stand now, we see nothing to move rates higher any time soon.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - Dec 19 2014

by Don Roth

The Strong Get Stronger

The jobs keep coming. Better yet, they keep coming at a faster pace.

Job growth was much stronger than nearly everyone expected in November. Payrolls for the month jumped 321,000 . At the same time, job numbers for October and September were revised up by 44,000. More of us are not only working, but we are earning more doing so. Average hourly earnings spiked 0.4% in November after edging up 0.1% in October.

At the beginning of the year, we said 200,000-or-more monthly job growth was key to a sustained recover. Job growth for the year has exceeded our expectations. All but one month reported over 200,000 in new jobs, while two months posted over 300,000 new jobs.

Job growth and economic growth go hand-in-hand. On the latter, many economists have ratcheted up their gross domestic product (GDP) growth expectations.

The U.S. Commerce Department believes final GDP growth will post at 4.6% at an annual rate for the third quarter, up from 3.6%. The economists at JPMorgan Chase see GDP growth posting at 4.4%, up from 4.3%. Barclays upped its final estimate to 4.2% from 4.1%. Annualized GDP growth above 4% is considered strong.

The growth we're seeing in the waning months of 2014 certainly gives us reason to anticipate 2015. Indeed, we expect 2015 to be a breakout year for housing. In addition to continued economic growth, home prices will continue to rise, though at a rate that will likely revert to historical norms. This is good news because it means market expectations will be better calibrated with market reality.

When it comes to lending reality, we're seeing a sustained pick up in purchase-mortgage activity. Last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association's weekly survey showed purchase applications were up again. Over the past two months, purchase applications have trended generally higher.

We expect purchase activity to continue to trend positively. With growth comes more willingness to lend. Lenders and regulations naturally become more willing to reach further out on the risk curve, thus creating a larger pool of potential buyers. (To wit: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac recently introduced new programs that allow borrowers to put only 3% down for a mortgage.)

This market is extraordinary in that we have strong economic growth coupled with low interest rates. Despite last week's strong jobs report, mortgage rates have actually drifted lower. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is still regularly quoted below 4%.

With that said, we shouldn't expect mortgage rates to remain at these levels if growth continues to steam ahead at the current rate. One day the Federal Reserve will move to lift interest rates. Growth sustained at the current rate means that day will come sooner than later.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - Dec 5 2014

by Don Roth

The Big View

The holidays are a nice respite. Things slow down a bit, which allows us to stand back and take in the big picture.

We like what we see, because the big picture includes steady improvement in housing. As we reported last week, housing sales are trending higher. In addition, more sales are being financed with a mortgage. That we are seeing more purchase applications is a sign of more owner-occupied buyers. These buyers have always been the key drivers of the housing market.

Recent trends in home prices point to more buyer interest and more inventory from which to choice.

On the pricing front, S&P/Case-Shiller's closely followed 20-city price index rose 0.3% month over month for September. Year over year, the index is up 4.9%. This is the slowest pace of year-over-year price growth since October 2012. This is actually good news because we are seeing the pace of price appreciation return to historical norms, and historical norms are sustainable norms.

That said, price appreciation is still found in most local markets. Of the 20 markets in Case-Shiller's index, 18 showed price gains for the month.

We expect home prices to continue to appreciate in most markets Case-Shiller follows. We say that because we remain confident in the economic outlook. Fortunately, many consumers apparently share our perspective.

Consumer confidence , overall, remains encouraging. Though down slightly in November, confidence has been on the rise through most of 2014. Better yet, consumers remain upbeat on the outlook for job creation. The latest data from the Conference Board show more people view the job market favorably. This, in turn, points to another favorable employment report next week. (Look for another month of 200,000-or-more new jobs for November.)

The positive data on jobs, housing, and mortgage lending over the past six months gives us even more reason to be thankful this time of year. The good news is that we don't expect this sense of gratitude to abate any time soon.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap – Oct 17, 2014

by Don Roth

One Confounding Market

At the beginning of the year we mentioned that with stronger job growth would likely come higher interest rates. We certainly have stronger job growth. After a lull in August, job growth returned with a vengeance in September, with payrolls increasing by 248,000. This marked the seventh month of 200,000+ monthly job gains in the past eight months. The unemployment rate is now down to 5.9%.

We anticipated stronger job growth back in January, and that's been the case. So you can say that we got the equation half right. The other half – rising interest rates – we quite frankly got wrong. More jobs and more economic growth would lead to more loan demand and rising inflation expectations, and thus, higher interest rates. At the beginning of the year, 5% on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage seamed a real possibility by the time we reached this time of the year.

But here we are in the early days of October and the rate on the 30-year loan is down to a 16-month low. Indeed, Bankrate.com's latest survey shows the national average dropped nine basis points week over week to 4.18%. Freddie Mac's survey shows the national average down to 4.12%, a seven-basis-point week-over-week decline.

The good news is that lower rates have spurred mortgage demand. The Mortgage Bankers Association data show refinance activity increased 5% last week, while purchase activity increased 2%. When the MBA reports on this week's activity (next week), we expect the percentage gains to be even higher.

So what's the skinny on mortgage rates?

They were actually trending higher through most of August. Market participants were focused on Federal Reserve language that suggested that rates (all rates) could start moving higher sooner than most market watchers anticipated.

But the most recent release of Fed meeting minutes (released this Wednesday) reveals Fed officials aren't so eager to get interest rates moving higher. The following sentence lifted from the minutes supports our contention: “The costs of downside shocks to the economy would be larger than those of upside shocks because, in current circumstances, it would be less problematic to remove accommodation quickly, if doing so becomes necessary, than to add accommodation.”

Fed officials even went as far as to stress "patience" in waiting for interest rates to rise. They are concerned with weak global economic growth and a stronger U.S. dollar. Rising geopolitical risk, such as what's occurring in Russia, the Middle East, and in Hong Kong also have the Fed on edge.

Here in our own backyard, a few structural issues remain. Though overall job growth has been robust for much of the year, the labor participation rate and unemployment rate among 25-to-54 remains a concern . There are still too many people in this important demographic who aren't working. At the same time, many of those who are working are dealing with stagnating wage growth.

So, it appears sub-5%, if not sub-4.5%, on the 30-year fixed-rate loan will be with us for some time to come.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Why We Long for Normalization

by Don Roth

The Phoenix housing market provides an insightful, if not cautionary, tale.

If you enjoy roller-coaster rides, then Phoenix is your kind of housing market. Over the past 10 years, Phoenix has seen a bubble followed by a bust followed by a strong upswing. According to data from Case-Shiller, Phoenix house prices bottomed in August 2011, traded flat for the remainder of the year, and then increased 23% in 2012 and 15% in 2013.

Now it appears Phoenix has crested and could be headed down again. Overall housing sales dropped 17% year over year in July, according to the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service . Investors, who have driven Phoenix's market over the past couple years, appear to be loosing interest: Cash sales dropped to 25% of total sales in July compared to 43% a year ago.

We imagine most people don't like roller-coaster rides in real estate. The whipsawing is much more painful when your wallet is involved. Volatility also tends to repel both buyers and sellers on the margin. Volatility raises uncertainty, and people don't want to feel uncertain when contemplating a big purchase like a house.

Of course, we wish the best for Phoenix. But the key to Phoenix, and every other volatile housing market, is a return to single-digit annual price appreciation and a market driven by mortgage-financed owner-occupiers. Slow and steady always wins the race over the long haul, and always will in housing.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap – August 12, 2014

by Don Roth

Six in a row, which is the number of months payrolls have increased 200,000-or-more per month.

The latest employment data show 209,000 jobs were created in July. At the same time, the unemployment rate inched up to 6.2% from 6.1%. More jobs and more unemployment? This phenomenon is the result of a higher labor participation rate. As more jobs become available, more people are compelled to enter the labor force.

At the beginning of the year, we mentioned that job creation running at 200,000+ per month was key to sustaining the economy and housing. The good news is the economy is meeting our expectations for job growth. In time, we expect to see a spillover effect: Housing sales, construction, and investment will rise as people become more settled in their new jobs.

Interestingly, strong job growth is holding little sway over interest rates. When job growth picks up, interest rates usually pick up with it. That hasn't been the case. Mortgage rates continue to hold near 2014 lows. Bankrate.com's latest survey has the national average on the 30-year, fixed-rate loan at 4.29%; Freddie Mac's survey has it at 4.14%

To understand why mortgage rates remain low look no further than the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Its yield is down to 2.4%. This bellwether security yields 60 fewer basis points than it did at the beginning of the year.

Interest rates remain low because consumer-price inflation remains low. A rush to quality is another factor. Quality interest-paying investments (like bonds and notes) have gained additional support in recent months due to turmoil surrounding the Ukraine and Russia, and, separately, the Middle East. Investors have flocked to haven investments – like the 10-year Treasury note – to wait out the turmoil. Their demand, in turn, has helped keep interest rates in general, and mortgage rates in particular, low.

Low rates are certainly good news for anyone seeking a mortgage these days. The fact that lending standards continue to ease is more good news. A recent survey of lenders by the Federal Reserve shows that lenders have indeed made credit available to more people. Then again, we've known this for some time. The MBA's Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI) has risen substantially over the past nine months, and has trended higher over the past two years.

Expect this important trend to continue because of falling mortgage delinquencies. The delinquency rate has dropped five-consecutive quarters and is at the lowest level since the fourth quarter of 2007, according to the MBA's National Delinquency Survey .

An expanding economy, job growth, low interest rates, and available credit: This is the perfect storm for anyone considering a housing change. We suggest anyone interested in a home to take advantage of today's opportunities before the storm passes – and it will pass one day.

Information provided by Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Harrisburg PA Mortgage Market Recap - May 28

by Don Roth

As each week passes, the data on housing becomes more encouraging. This past week's data added to the good feelings.

Existing homes sales continue to post monthly gains, rising 3.4 percent in April to an annualized rate of 4.62 million units. If you go back to July 2011, you'll see a trend that is very noticeably up, with monthly sales trending 15-percent higher over the time period.

Perusing the existing home sales data a little deeper, we find many encouraging details. When local market prices are aggregated into the national number, we find the national median price has increased to $177,400 – a 10.1 percent improvement over the national median price in April 2011.

Strengthening home prices are surely the result of easing competition from distressed sales, which now comprise less than a third of total sales. Fewer lower-priced distressed properties in inventory obviously means less downward pricing pressure.

More seller interest is the corollary to less pricing pressure. The NAR reports that inventory increased to a 6.6-month supply in April from 6.3 months in March. A few commentators positioned the inventory increase as a negative, but we don't necessarily agree. Compared to last year, when inventory stood at a 9.1-month supply, 6.6 months is a vast improvement.

Composition of inventory is also worth considering, and the composition of existing-home inventory this year is of higher quality compared to last year. Better pricing invariably brings better homes to market. We’ve see pricier, higher quality homes hit the market over the past six months.

The trend in new home sales and pricing is also encouraging. New home sales increased 3.3 percent in April to an annualized rate of 343,000 units, easily beating the consensus estimate for 330,000 units. Meanwhile, the national median price of a new home rose to $235,700 compared to $234,000 in March and $224,700 in April 2011.

We don't see new-home prices backsliding any time soon. Inventory stands at a mere 146,000 homes, which is a 5.1-month supply at the current sales pace. A dearth of inventory, coupled with a rising-price environment, means that anyone looking to buy a new home should think hard about procrastinating; rising demand plus shrinking inventory always equals higher prices.

That said, a few opinion leaders are less sanguine than we are, at least on prices. New York-based Fitch Ratings weighed in on the subject and said it sees another 7.8% drop in national home prices this year. In our opinion, that's an awfully steep (and unlikely) drop at the national level when you consider the vast improvement in many formerly forlorn markets – Phoenix, Miami, Detroit, Orlando – that are recovering vigorously.Bottom line, we still see no persuasive evidence to think the majority of housing markets aren't recovering and moving forward.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Displaying blog entries 11-20 of 20

Syndication

Categories

Archives