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A Plethora of Price Support Data

by Don Roth

Mortgage lending rates are an obvious variable in determining the affordability level of a home, and, yes, these rates are very low. But it's also important buyers consider an even more obvious variable – the home price itself. 

On that front, the data clearly point to stable and rising home prices. Recent pricing stories sourcing Trulia, CoreLogic, Zillow, and the NAR show stable and rising prices in more local markets that spread across a wider geographical swath of the United States.

Even the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index, a lagging but consistently pessimistic index, points to rising home prices. The index recently posted its first back-to-back monthly gain since the spring of 2010. Not surprisingly, the index confirmed the price rebounds we already know are occurring in Phoenix, Miami, Tampa, Minneapolis, and Dallas.

The point we want to emphasis is not to overlook the obvious. Sure, buyers may be able to save a few basis points on lending costs in coming months, but that could easily be offset (and more than offset) by rising home prices.

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When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

The first quarter of 2009 showed some stability in the real estate market when compared to the similar period in 2008. Although the number of transactions are down by 20% and the average sales price declined by 3%, these numbers are an improvement with respect to the declines that we experienced in the last quarter of 2008. The average sales price overall declined from $184,860 to $178,519 and the average sales price in March 2009 declined from $187,896 to $183,638. The average days on market increased slightly in both periods and it is returning to what I would call more normal times of the late 1990’s and the early 2000’s.

One of the most striking changes is the percentage of loans being initiated by FHA and VA. This percentage increased from 35% in 2009 from only 14% in 2008. This is a good indication since both entities have stepped up to the plate when conventional lending sources were not available, and this trend will continue for a while longer.

But there is some very good news in the market today. 30 year conventional first mortgage rates are still near 5% and, at least in the short term, that should be the going rate. Also, lenders are really attempting to assist buyers in this market to find a mortgage program that fits the borrowers’ requirements. And although the above quarterly sales numbers to many look bleak, the number of pending sales has increased by about 20% since the end of 2008. And although we haven’t completely turned the corner, it is my opinion that we are beginning to see that both buyers have a vehicle to purchase a home at very attractive interest rates and sellers are going to experience more potential buyers for their homes going forward this year.

Below is information on selected municipalities in the region and is reflective of only residential properties and does not include land, investment or commercial properties.

Average Sales Price/ First Quarter
West Shore
Municipality
2008
2009
Days on Market
Camp Hill
$217,223
$197,091
76/93
Mechanicsburg
$162,568
$145,958
51/67
Shiremanstown
$144,933
$150,000
59/47
Lemoyne
$156,983
$112,469
36/32
East Pennsboro
$200,724
$171,440
54/58
Hampden Township
$278,272
$247,573
78/98
Silver Spring Township
$255,771
$258,366
77/67
Upper Allen Township
$266,410
$203,963
76/85
Lower Allen Township
$174,730
$206,434
44/73
Fairview Township
$258,348
$270,124
82/71
East Shore
 
 
Lower Paxton Township
$226,358
$235,288
61/88
Derry Township
$250,125
$216,241
58/75
South Hanover Township
$189,774
$304,936
104/86
Susquehanna Township
$166,728
$162,876
57/89
Swatara Township
$166,896
$147,536
80/64
Paxtang
$140,500
$119,475
77/86
Hummelstown
$161,540
$136,543
57/102
East Hanover Township
$149,000
$265,250
50/75
West Hanover Township
$238,728
$213,928
95/119

 

Information received from the Central Penn Multi List and deemed to be correct. The information on the sales has been selected from Dauphin, Cumberland and Perry Counties and portions of Lancaster, Lebanon and York Counties.

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