Real Estate Information Archive

It will be another month before anyone can take a look at the Gross Domestic Product for quarter one of 2012. Current information reveals that the last quarter of 2011 held a 3% clip for GDP, but the early indicators are revealing that there is a slight slippage from that pace. The economy’s ability to expand or grow, without kicking off inflation is thought to be around 2.8% GDP. However, as Chairman Bernanke points out, there needs to be considerably stronger growth for at least a little while, if the unemployment rate is to decline significantly.

According to the Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index – (an economic gauge which uses some 85 indicators to determine if the economy is growing faster or slower than its ‘potential’) – came in at a diminutive negative -0.09 for February 2012; down from a relatively brisk +33 in January. With the use of these figures, this puts GDP growth just shy of 2.8% for the month. 

In February, orders for durable goods moved to 2.2% higher. This positive news was a tad below economic expectations, and was not as much of an anticipated recovery from the 3.6% decline in January. However, it is very common to see swings from negative to positive and back again in durable goods ordered, while the current percentage holds its own.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Just as anticipated, mortgage rates have settled back a bit after its recent upward movement of fifteen basis points over the last two weeks. Widespread upward economic movement fostered the rise, but a more realistic approach to the economy’s forward momentum seems to be creeping back in.

Rates have bumped off a little from their historic bottoms of February, but the modest movement should not create any additional disturbance or turbulence for the housing market. Even in the worst-case scenario, the eighth percentage point increase in a loan’s interest rate is probably not enough to ruin most deals. Especially since that slight increase could be ‘brought down’ through the payment of approximately a half-point fee, perhaps less.

It should be no surprise to anyone who has applied for a loan recently that banks are being much more careful. A new repost indicates just how tight conditions have become – and how even borrowers with favorable credit profiles are being denied. Loans closed by banks and mortgage lenders in February had borrowers with an average credit score of 750; this average is up from 740 six months earlier, and an average loan-to-value ratio of 76%, with the average denied loan having a credit score of 699 and a loan-to-value ratio of 83%.

While there is no hard downshift in economic activity, research shows that essentially, with the new spring housing season approaching, we are in the same boat, just with more favorable mortgage rates. An accumulation of February data and early data available for March suggests that activity is stabilizing with a softer trend beginning. Federal Chairman Bernanke’s reassurance about the direction of interest rates doesn’t hurt either, in terms of trimming any upward pressure for current rates. 

Recent weekly data is reinforcing the notion that a cooler economic climate is in formation. Claims for new unemployment benefits moved downward in January to a rate which is the lowest it has been in 4 years. However, the unemployment benefits rate does not incorporate in statistics about workers who are under-employed. Approximately 9.3 million workers are considered underemployed as defined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That number is up from just over 8 million in July 2011, but down from a peak of approximately 9.5 million in September 2010. Overall, employment gains for March will be no better nor no worse than February.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

I wrote a few months back that the mortgage interest rates will probably begin to increase very shortly. Well, it looks like the time has arrived, at least in the short term. In the last few weeks the rate has increased from the 3.75% range up to 4.35%.

Please review the chart below and see what the impact is on a projected mortgage payment. Yes, there may be some pull back in rates for a while but as I said in a blog last week we never intentionally hit the bottom of the rate cycle until after it has passed. If you need any additional information on interest rates or homes that are available for sale please contact me at Don@DonRoth.com.  

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

One of our soap box issues over the past year has been the lack of private lending money. Our interest was naturally piqued when we read that Institutional Risk Analytics released a report titled "The Real Role of Banks in Residential Mortgage Finance.

"The report basically expounds many of our concerns: The Federal Reserve's low-rate policies are discouraging private money from entering the mortgage-backed securities market, which means many lenders have to adhere to the strict standards of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Having the market dominated by the Federal Reserve and two government-backed entities attenuates private credit formation.

Rising mortgage lending rates would draw more private capital into the market, which means there would not only be more credit but more credit that would meet the demands of a more diverse group of borrowers.To be sure, the spike in rates we've seen over the past week has taken the wind out of the refinance boom. But as more borrowers realize that higher rates are more likely than lower rates, more borrowers will be motivated to act and more lenders will be motivated to lend.

It's also worth remembering that even if mortgage lending rates rise above 5%, the monthly payment on a median mortgage would make up only 14% of the current median income, because homes are so affordable these days. Rising rates would not disrupt the market, they would simply reset expectations to market reality.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Mortgage lending rates have been on the rise, and they've been on the rise in a big way. Over the past week it's possible that someone inquiring on the 30-year fixed-rate loan could have been quoted a price 50-basis points higher than what was available a month ago.

Rates have pulled back slightly, but they remain elevated compared to February's lows. We expect them to remain elevated. Markets appear less risk averse: Investors are no longer huddling behind U.S. Treasury securities every time Greece hiccups. The major stock market barometers – the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index – are approaching four-year highs.In short, investors want more return. They are less satisfied with the 2% return offered on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes, which makes these notes more risky. If more investors demand a higher coupon payment, more investors will sell low-coupon Treasury securities, thus forcing the yield on these securities to rise.

As U.S. Treasury note and bond yields go so goes mortgage-backed securities yields and so goes mortgage lending rates. We are not terribly concerned though. We don't think rising rates will crimp the housing recovery, because higher economic growth and rising employment will more than offset higher interest rates.

Home builders appear to share our sentiment. The National Association of Home Builders sentiment index shows optimism has risen to a five-year high. This suggests to us the bust is officially over and that housing is on sustainable growth trajectory.

That said, housing starts did edge down in February, but from an upwardly revised January posting. Permits were the positive takeaway, increasing 5.1% for the month.Last week we mentioned that if we saw a reversal of fortune in Las Vegas, then the housing recovery has likely turned the corner and become a nationwide phenomenon. This might just be serendipity, but, lo and behold, the FDIC reports that single-family home permits in Nevada increased 16.1% in the fourth quarter of 2011 compared to the fourth quarter of 2010. Maybe miracles really do happen.

Like new-home sales, existing-home sales are also displaying sustained strength. Sales dipped slightly – by 0.9% to 4.59 million annualized units – in February, but the data follow an extremely strong and upwardly revised January sales posting. Over the past six months, sales have been trending perceptibly higher.

We are further encouraged by the trend in existing home prices, which have been firming and moving higher in 2012. The median price of an existing home moved up 1.3% to $156,600 in February.Overall, we like the direction the housing market has taken. We also like the idea of mortgage markets moving to more normalized, market-driven pricing. We think this points to a much stronger, sustainable market over the long term.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

I am honored to be asked to speak at the 2012 Real Estate Lending 101 conference at the Pennsylvania Credit Union Association next month.

I will be discussing how lenders can get more business from the Realtors® they are associated with. What can a lender do to garner an agent's referrals? What makes a Realtor want to recommend a lender to his/her clients? Is bringing brownies to an agent's office an effective way to get business? Or is offering marketing tools a better way to gain an agent's trust? Where does social networking fit into the mix?

Networking and referrals from other Realtors® - the easiest and cheapest form of advertising. I'll tell lenders everything they need to know about getting referrals from a Realtor!

Lenders can hear all this an more at the April 19 conference. It is an event you won't want to miss!

April 19, 2012, 2:30 to 3:30 pm
Pennsylvania Credit Union Association 
4309 North Front St.
Harrisburg, PA  17110

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com

Steadily and slowly the Harrisburg PA real estate market continues to improve on many fronts. The number of homes sold and settled in February 2012 increased by 18% over the same period in 2011 and the number of homes sold and pending increased by approximately 15% since the end of 2011. But the average sales price for homes settled decrease by about 5% in February when compared to February 2011. And the number of active listings for residential listings increased slightly since the end of 2011. Overall this is excellent news for the areas real estate market and it is anticipated that the overall positive trend will continue throughout the year.

I have been asked by many people “how is the market and is this a good time to buy or sell a home?” My answer is absolutely, and yes! I assist buyers and sellers in most likely their largest financial transaction that will occur, and my answer is absolutely. Why? As I have been saying interest rates are at or near historic lows and there is only one direction they are going and that is up, almost guaranteed. As with the price of a home and the comment of I am going to wait until they hit bottom. Well, my answer is that we never know where the bottom is until they have already begun an upward trend. And if I was that smart to figure out the bottom, I would be spending more time on the beach rather than giving you an analysis of what appears to be an improving real estate market. Will there be challenges ahead? Absolutely, but remember when prices were keeping many people from buying a home? Well, you now have a once in a lifetime opportunity to purchase a home at a unique time in our history.

Remember there is an excellent inventory of homes in all prices ranges so to find your next home please visit my web site, www.DonRoth.com, and click on the search listings tab and find the most current list of available homes for sale.  

Harrisburg PA Real Estate Sales Statistics - Feb 2012

West Shore School Districts

School District    Average Sales Price 2011 Average Sales Price 2012      Days on Market

Camp Hill                    $125,900                                 $155,900                     184/90

Carlisle                        $168,012                                 $199,130                     160/155

Cumberland Valley      $266,689                                 $283,057                     162,116

East Pennsboro            $115,960                                 $189,075                     101/67

Mechanicsburg             $210,978                                 $165,354                     89/174

Northern York                $215,025                                 $173,206                     139/154

West Shore                    $169,636                                 $156,007                     90/114

East Shore

School District               Average Sales Price 2011 Average Sales Price 2012      Days on Market

Central Dauphin        $201,096                                 $156,527                     177/115

Derry Twp                  $309,625                                 $216,863                     70/124

Harrisburg                  $ 46,628                                  $ 59,924                      121/111

Lower Dauphin          $213,853                                 $227,433                     55/145

Middletown                $179,925                                 $ 79,419                      163/93

Steel High                   $69,500                                   $ 42,633                      65/142

Susquehanna Twp     $195,471                                 $129,294                     131/125

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com. 

We expect to see a surge in mortgage applications in coming months. Couple low rates with HARP 2.0, the federal mortgage program that will enable millions of underwater homeowners to tap the mortgage market, and mortgage loan demand is sure to grow.

The combination of low rates and HARP 2.0 alone is enough to send business through the roof. Now we get word the Obama administration wants to allow more homeowners to refinance by dropping fees on federally insured mortgages. The administration's plan has the FHA dropping upfront insurance premiums on streamline refinances from 1% to 0.01%. The FHA would also drop annual premiums from 1.15% of the loan balance to 0.55%.

There is one catch: the lower fees only apply to borrowers who took out loans before June 1, 2009 . Still, lower-fee FHA loans are expected to help two to three million borrowers refinance.

The prospect of rising mortgage demand is worth keeping in mind as we head into the spring and summer selling season. Lenders will be busy, and sometimes very busy. Our advice, which we've offered in the past, is not to wait. For buyers, home affordability has never been better; for refinancers, rates have never been lower.

Given the present market dynamics, we think the risk of waiting to refinance or to buy a home far outweighs the possible reward of a lower home price or a lower interest rate.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

Home prices continue to garner front-page attention. CoreLogic reports that prices declined for the sixth-straight month in January, dipping 1% from December. Year-over-year prices are down 3.1%. In short, CoreLogic says that prices are about where they were 10 years ago.CoreLogic offers one set of data on home prices, Clear Capital offers another, less ominous set. According to Clear Capital, national home prices declined only 1.9% year-over-year. What's more, its data show short-term prices being more stable, with prices falling only 0.6% from the third quarter to the fourth quarter of 2011.

Everyone is keeping a close eye on distressed properties. Now that last year's “robo-signing” foreclosure imbroglio is behind us does that mean we will see a surge in foreclosed and REO properties? And if so, how will they impact inventory and prices?

Pertinent questions, to be sure, and ones we don't have a ready answer for. We do know that the inventory of existing homes for sale declined 21%, or by 600,000 units, in 2011. At the most recently reported sales pace, that means we are looking at 6.1 months of supply – the lowest inventory level since April 2006. Lower supply supports higher prices.

Today's low inventory is attributed to falling foreclosure volume. But now that banks are free to foreclose, two million more homes are expected to hit the market over the next two years. If that's the case, then distressed inventory will rise sharply. Returning to economics: higher supply leads to lower prices.

There are a few extenuating factors though. The economy is improving, and continues to add jobs at an increasing rate. The private sector added 216,000 jobs last month, according to the latest national employment report from Automatic Data Processing. That's a significant increase over the 173,000 jobs added in January. More people working means more people who can afford a home.

The rise in REO properties could be offset by a decrease in other market segments. For instance, there was a significant increase in short sales in the fourth quarter of 2011, which pushed the number up to nearly 910,000 units nationwide. That said, the long-term trend for short sales is down; fewer short sales could be a counterweight to rising REO units.

Housing formation is another attenuating factor. After 2007, household formation plummeted to 300,000 per year from its historical rate of 1.25 million. We see a lot of pent up demand. The population continues to grow, the economy continues to improve, home affordability is at a multi-decade high. The market is ripe for a spike in new household formation.

In short, we don't expect new REO properties to upset the housing recovery like the more dire pundits are predicting.

Courtesy of Jessica Regan.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com.

This is a great article by Peter Fletcher of Residential Settlements!

A pre-approval is one of the greatest assets a home buyer can get.

Pre-approval is a written assessment of your worthiness for a loan. When you seek pre-approval for a home loan, your lender will assess your ability to pay, as well as your credit history, to decide how much they are willing to lend you.

Although you can make an offer and go through to the start of property settlement without having pre-approval, smart home buyers get pre-approval before they make an offer.

Really smart home buyers get pre-approval before they even start going to home opens.

Here’s why you should, too:

1. You get a better choice of properties. When you visit a home open and talk to a real estate agent, letting them know that you have pre-approval is a sure-fire way to get them to take you seriously as a buyer. Once a real estate agent knows you’re serious about buying, they’re likely to call you about potential properties before they’ve even hit the market, giving you a better choice of properties, and potentially cheaper deals.

2. You get a better deal. To sellers, pre-approval is almost like a guarantee that the deal they strike with you won’t fall over. Sellers want certainty, because if the buyer they choose can’t get finance, the seller will have to start marketing their property all over again. To them, this certainty is worth money – I’ve seen plenty of deals where the seller has accepted a lower offer because that buyer had pre-approval and the higher offers didn’t.

3. You won’t waste time looking at homes you can’t afford. Getting pre-approval will give you a much better idea of what homes are within your price range, so you’ll know in advance which properties are too pricey to waste your time on.

4. You won’t have your heart broken. Imagine falling in love with a property and even going so far as to make an offer on it – only to find out at that it’s out of your price range! Save yourself the disappointment of having a deal fall through by knowing in advance what you can (and can’t) afford.

If you’re planning to buy a home, get a pre-approved home loan from your chosen lender. Your seller, real estate agent, and settlement agent will thank you for it – and you’ll be glad you did.

Search all Harrisburg PA homes for sale.

When you are buying or selling property in today's Harrisburg PA real estate market, it's important to have confidence in your real estate professional. Don’s commitment as your Harrisburg PA REALTOR® is to provide you with the specialized real estate service you deserve.

When you are an informed buyer or seller, you'll make the best decisions for the most important purchase or sale in your lifetime. That's why Don’s goal is to keep you informed on trends in Harrisburg PA real estate. With property values continuing to rise, real estate is a sound investment for now and for the future.

As a local area expert with knowledge of Harrisburg PA area communities, Don’s objective is to work diligently to assist you in meeting your real estate goals.

If you are considering buying or selling a home or would just like to have additional information about real estate in your area, please don't hesitate to call me at (717) 657-8700, complete my online form, or e-mail me at don@donroth.com