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Central Pennsylvania Real Estate Sales Report January 2010

Thursday, February 18, 2010
by Don Roth

As we enter the second week of February 2010, there seems to be one subject besides real estate and that is global warming; and that debate whether there is global warming continues incessantly. Who is right or who is wrong on this issue will be determined in the future. With respect to real estate, I think that I am more right than wrong with my opinions in the past and what I see going forward, at least in the Central Pennsylvania marketplace. Comparing January 2009 with January 2010, the number of sales have decreases by 14%, and I know that does not look like a rebounding market that I have characterized in previous letters. But I will say that we experienced a similar result when comparing January 2008 and 2009, and we still were down for the year 2009, though not anywhere near the January numbers and I still anticipate that 2010 will be a positive year, although only slightly. And the January average sales price comparison is much improved over 2009 albeit down 7%.

Why didn’t we see more of an improvement or a continuation of the progress in the latter part of 2009? Three factors: 1) being that the Home Buyer Tax Credit extension didn’t occur until mid November, 2): the holiday season was upon us and in many instances buyers have traditionally slowed down their buying habits during December and January; 3) the weather, need I say anything more after 30+ inches of snow within the last five days!!

Moving forward, what is the most likely scenario that I anticipate? We will see a slow improvement in the number of home sales in the area and a slight increase in the average sales price as we go through 2010. Part of the increase will be due to the tax credit that presently has a date of April 30, 2010, in which buyers can qualify for the tax credit and with a closing date of June 30, 2010. I have been asked about an extension beyond April of this year and my response is that anything is possible in Washington, DC, but it is highly unlikely. Improvement will also come from buyers who do not want to rent any longer, sellers that want to either downsize or need a larger home and those who want to take advantage of the low mortgage interest rate that we continue to experience and we all should be aware that the low interest rate environment cannot continue forever. As I said in one of my recent posts, a 1% difference on a mortgage rate can increase your mortgage payment by almost $90.00 a month on a mortgage of $150,000. Yes, things will improve on a slow and steady pace, and when we see an overall increase in the economic climate the activity will improve even more, but do not anticipate a return to three or four years ago with substantial price appreciation because it is not going to happen.

It is my intent to give you the best of what I see in the market in order to assist you in making a real estate purchase; and please remember each sale is different even though there may be two homes that are exactly alike. Such factors as condition and buyer or seller motivation are two that come to mind. So if you are considering a purchase or a sale please contact me at Don@DonRoth.com or visit my web site www.DonRoth.com and view the search listings tab. Hope that we can say that the past week has been a global warming anomaly and we will see plenty of sunshine for a while.

 

Average Sales Price
West Shore
School District
January 2009
January 2010
Days on Market
Camp Hill
$165,380
$226,076
102/112
Cumberland Valley
$258,097
$237,721
41/84
West Shore
$236,594
$203,394
51/92
Northern
$229,067
$214,400
60/70
Mechanicsburg
$167,676
$164,616
91/59
East Shore
Central Dauphin
$200,006
$171,217
82/54
Derry Township
$247,634
$227,400
35/37
Harrisburg
$ 59,094
$  60,815
96/82
Lower Dauphin
$211,838
$281,350
53/97
Middletown
$110,900
$127,400
95/145
Steel High
$ 60,950
$ 64,555
92/63
Susquehanna Township
$173,391
$186,227
84/107

2010 Home Buyer Tax Credit – Take Advantage Before It Is Too Late

Monday, January 11, 2010
by Don Roth

With the beginning of the New Year, many potential home buyers should make a resolution to purchase a home and have the ability to take advantage of the Home Buyer Tax Credit. Extended by Congress in 2009, this credit is available to buyers who sign a purchase contract before April 30, 2010 and settle on the home prior to June 30, 2010.

There are two eligibility categories designated by the Tax Credit Law:

  1. First Time Home Buyers. Defined as a buyer that has not owned a home for the past three years and the credit is up to $8000 or 10% of the purchase price of the home. The income restrictions are $125,000 for a single buyer and $225,000 for a couple purchasing the home. One of the more attractive conditions of the law is that the credit is truly a credit with no repayment provisions as long as you own the home for three years. If you sell prior to the anniversary, the total credit amount must be repaid.
  2. Current Home Owners who may want to purchase a home. The credit is $6500, and the home being purchased must be the buyers’ permanent residence. If a buyer wants to continue to own the home they are currently residing in, that is allowed, but again the home being purchased must be the new residence and be occupied by the buyer. One other condition in this category is that the buyer must have lived in their previous residence for five consecutive years of the last eight years. The other conditions that pertain to the First Time Home Buyers are similar.

Why is this credit so important? One of the reasons Congress extended the credit is to stimulate the housing market in the beginning of 2010. Also, with prices of homes in many areas of the country at or below previous levels it is anticipated that buyers can purchase a home at an attractive price and possibly give current homeowners the opportunity to do the same. And with mortgage interest rates still at an attractive level, possibly provide more purchasing power to a buyer.

This bill passed by Congress is the third version of the Home Buyer Tax Credit and from everything that I have seen or read Congress is not likely at this time to provide any further extensions in the future. Naturally, with any specific tax questions, it is highly recommended that you talk to a tax professional. And if you have any questions concerning available real estate for sale in the Greater Harrisburg area, please contact me at Don@DonRoth.com.

Lower Mortgage Rates in Central Pennsylvania Are Here

Wednesday, November 26, 2008
by Don Roth

First, as we approach Thanksgiving, I want to wish the happiest of times to you, your families and your friends. We have been through some interesting times in the last year and it appears that this trend will continue for the foreseeable future. Let us count our blessings and look for a brighter tomorrow.

I am sure many people saw the news that the Federal Reserve enacted a second large multibillion dollar initiative in hopes of stimulating the housing market for both buyers and sellers in this challenging market. What does that do immediately for you? Well, the initial reaction was to reduce current 30 year mortgage rates down by about .75% or a savings of $72 a month on a $150,000 mortgage or a yearly saving of $864 a year. Not a lot but better in your pocket than the lenders.

If you are considering the purchase of a home, this may be the market of opportunity for you now and for the next few months. While no one can accurately predict the bottom of a market, many will be upset that they waited too long to buy a home. If you are a current owner, you may say that your home isn't worth as much as last year and that may be true. However, if you are considering moving up the home, what you are looking for isn't worth as much as it was last year. There are many opportunities that will be available and if you are considering a move, you should begin your planning now so you are adequately prepared. Just remember the Greater Harrisburg, Carlisle and Hershey real estate markets have been one of the most stable market in the nation - put that to your advantage.

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